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Official HPD data · January 1, 2022 – October 31, 2024

Housing Lottery Insights

What happened to Housing Connect applications during HPD’s reporting period. These figures describe historical activity across lotteries, not the chance of getting a particular apartment.

Historical report: January 2022–October 2024. The homepage’s approximately 6 million applications and 10,000 homes refer to 2024 alone, using a different source and measure. These are not directly comparable totals.

From application to lease

Each figure is a count recorded during the same reporting period. The stages are not a tracked cohort of the same applications.

  1. Stage 110,936,175Applications submitted
  2. Stage 2763,322Invited to confirm eligibility6.98% of submitted applications
  3. Stage 327,032Proceeded with tenant selection0.25% of submitted applications
  4. Stage 420,200Signed leases0.18% of submitted applications

Applications are not people. One person can submit multiple applications. For context, the 27,032 tenant selections equal about 1 per 405 submitted applications in these aggregate period counts. That is not anyone’s personal probability.

Income groups and AMI

Signed leases assigned to an HPD income group for NYC-resident applicants. AMI means Area Median Income.

Extremely low income · 0–30% AMI5,935 (29.6%)
Very low income · 31–50% AMI5,760 (28.7%)
Low income · 51–80% AMI4,702 (23.4%)
Moderate income · 81–120% AMI3,386 (16.9%)
Middle income · 121–165% AMI274 (1.4%)
Above middle income10 (<0.1%)

20,067 classified NYC-resident leases. HPD’s residency table counts 20,069 NYC-resident leases; this income table does not account for two of them. These are applicant income classifications, not the advertised AMI mix of available units.

Household size

Signed leases by the applicant household’s size, across all residency categories.

1 person10,489 (51.9%)
2 people5,361 (26.5%)
3 or more4,350 (21.5%)

The 3-or-more group is calculated from HPD’s 20,200 total after the published one- and two-person counts. Lease share alone does not establish better odds for a household size.

Where applicants lived

Signed leases by the applicant’s borough of residence, not where the apartment was located.

Brooklyn6,979 (34.5%)
Queens5,204 (25.8%)
Bronx4,499 (22.3%)
Manhattan3,281 (16.2%)
Staten Island106 (0.5%)

NYC boroughs account for 20,069 leases. The remaining 131 are classified as Unknown / outside NYC.

NYC residency recorded

How HPD classified the residence of applicants who signed leases.

NYC resident20,069 (99.4%)
Unknown / outside NYC131 (0.6%)

Unknown / outside NYC combines two possibilities. This chart describes past leases; it does not state who can apply to a current lottery. Check each official listing’s eligibility and preferences.

Read the numbers carefully

10.9 million applicants?

No. HPD counts applications. The same person may have applied to many lotteries.

Is 1 in 405 my chance?

No. It is an aggregate ratio between period counts, not a forecast for a particular person, lottery, income band, or preference.

Do more one-person leases mean better odds?

No. A lease count alone does not account for how many eligible households applied or how many units were available.

Does the residency chart set an eligibility rule?

No. Historical outcomes do not replace the current lottery’s published eligibility and preference rules.

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